Posted Record:
NFL Sides: 2-0 +6.00
NFL MLs: 0-1 -2.00
NFL Props: 0-1 -0.25
CFB Sides: 2-0 +1.00
3* - Baylor +3 -120
3* - Oregon St -1.5
2* - UTSA -4.5
2* - Ball St +43
2* - Coastal Car -28.5
1* - Texas -37
1* - Cinci -23.5
1* - Mizzu -5.5
Not a ton of analysis as I'm working on NFL content, but usually this early in the year it's a lot of 'technical analysis' as we don't have a footing on the 'fundamentals' (personnel, tendencies, etc.) to go as deep into the match-ups. The offseason work is a lot of regression flags and composite power rankings versus the line, etc. Nothing that deep. First 2-3 weeks are learning weeks for me from a process perspective.
So I rely on advanced box scores, misleading box scores, the offseason work, and prior week's spread to result variances for most of these plays to try to find value.
Obviously don't love how chalky this is, but oh well. Other leans included NC St, Cuse, Navy, Clemson, MTSU, and Bama.
I'll be back later today with some NFL preview stuff, including some audio, and with my picks.
